Updates from the North America team fall 2025
View in browser
North America Newsletter Headers3

Fall 2025

Notes from North America

The days are getting cooler across much of North America, a welcome relief from another hotter than usual summer. August tied for the third-hottest on record. The past quarter brought uncertainty in the United States about the future of offshore wind and directives to keep uneconomical coal plants online. In Canada, we're seeing the government bail out financially fraught pipelines at the expense of increasing oil exports that aren't needed.

 

But bright spots remain. In September, Puerto Rico hit 10% of electricity consumption from rooftop solar. In Texas, solar set a new record, providing more than 40% of the state's electricity for seven straight hours. While both Puerto Rico and Texas have unique energy landscapes, they provide an example of how reliable renewables can be.

 

Energy usage and importing and exporting are intimately tied across borders. What happens in the United States affects the rest of North America and our colleagues across the globe. While uncertainty remains, the team in North America will continue to provide in-depth analysis of how we can move forward to a reliable and sustainable energy economy.

 

-Todd Leahy

North America Regional Director

Catch up Quick

 

Projected data center growth spurs PJM capacity prices by factor of 10

Our latest piece on data centers found a tightening market for electric generation capacity across the PJM region (which spans all or parts of 13 mid-Atlantic and Midwestern states, plus the District of Columbia) is driving up electric rates for consumers. This tight market is driven in large part by data centers, highlighting another way in which ratepayers are footing the bill for electrical infrastructure demanded by these facilities.

 

Glut – The four-letter word that has producers doubting their futures

The global oil industry has a serious problem: there’s simply too much oil and not enough demand. Today’s prices are too low for the oil and gas industry to thrive and are projected to fall even further. A fundamental mismatch between abundant supply and weak demand has created a weak outlook that has dampened the private sector’s enthusiasm for oil and gas companies.

 

Anti-renewable policies are going to cost consumers

Political uncertainty will raise the risks—and therefore, the costs—of developing other new power generation resources, including new nuclear facilities, dispatchable battery storage, solar, and gas-fired plants. Renewable energy and dispatchable storage are the only option for adding significant amounts of new generation capacity to the U.S. grid for at least the next five years. Adding power from gas-fired plants through 2030 is severely limited by turbine manufacturing constraints, and the administration's efforts to keep aging and unreliable coal plants open will cost consumers dearly.

 

The Williams NESE gas pipeline is not better the second time around

National Grid contends downstate New Yorkers (New York City and Long Island) should pay for construction of a new interstate pipeline. The proposed NESE gas pipeline would ship fracked natural gas from Pennsylvania to Downstate New York for combustion in homes, businesses, and Long Island power plants. IEEFA's report examines the project and concludes the pipeline is unnecessary.

 

Canada should learn from the Trans Mountain Expansion pipeline's fiscal issues

As some private interests and public officials call for government funding to construct more pipelines across Canada to enhance oil exports, it is worth taking a closer look at the financial quagmire of the Trans Mountain Expansion pipeline (TMX). The project has already been bailed out by the Canadian government once but still faces significant economic hurdles. Construction costs and government financial support have escalated significantly since 2018, when the Canadian government first purchased the financially troubled pipeline. Learn more in our fact sheet.

 

Poor coal economics to cost West Virginia electricity consumers

West Virginia customers of Appalachian Power and Wheeling Power (American Electric Power’s subsidiaries in the state) will pay tens of millions of dollars more in electric rates because of economic losses at the companies’ coal-fired power plants. Excess coal inventories are posing a challenge not only for utilities, but also for coal producers trying to sell into an oversupplied market.

Chart of the Quarter

More than 10% of electricity consumption in Puerto Rico now comes from rooftop solar power, a milestone that illustrates the continued rapid uptake of distributed solar as an alternative to the increasingly unreliable centralized grid. Distributed generation has grown rapidly in Puerto Rico over the last decade; our chart of the quarter shows how residential and commercial rooftop solar capacity has quintupled in just the last four years. Over the last year, residential and commercial solar systems have been added to the grid at a rate of almost 3,200 per month. LUMA projects installations to continue growing at a similar rate, reaching almost 2 GW of installed capacity by mid-2028. Read more in English or Spanish.

Residential and Commercial Rooftop Solar in Puerto Rico@2x (1)

Quotable

“EU gas demand is in structural decline. But this year’s slight rise in gas imports should be a wake-up call for Member States falling short of their energy efficiency and renewables targets,”

Ana Maria Jaller-Makarewicz, lead energy analyst, Europe

 

“Capital can be mobilised through public and private sources, guided by ministries via blended finance and incentives. Corporates and their supply chains are key to implementation, especially in high-emission sectors,” 

Gaurav Upadhyay, energy finance specialist, South Asia

Media Highlights

National Observer: Is Canada betting big on LNG at just the wrong time?

Axios: Electricity costs rise amid data center boom

Marketplace: Wind energy faces headwinds under Trump

The Energy Mix: Report Calls Trans Mountain a ‘Red Flag’ for Future Subsidies After Price Rises 584%

Gothamist: New Yorkers to foot bill for pipeline pushed by feds, new report says costs will rise

Claridad: Crece la generación solar en techos

Connect with IEEFA

Sign up for our newsletters:

By the Numbers

Updates from around the globe.

Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis 
PO Box 472, Valley City,OH  44280-0472  United States +1-216-353-7344

Unsubscribe Manage Preferences